Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.429806 0.506467 0.590963 0.690748 0.805092 0.931745 1.082362
2024-10-06 0.334831 0.441757 0.571336 0.738737 0.947945 1.199337 1.522692
2024-10-13 0.251683 0.367486 0.520103 0.733191 1.019767 1.388160 1.893209
2024-10-20 0.194386 0.311026 0.476680 0.724215 1.078726 1.561090 2.258292
2024-10-27 0.154441 0.268678 0.442254 0.717739 1.134546 1.730069 2.630333
2024-11-03 0.129500 0.242951 0.426034 0.732404 1.218504 1.942636 3.079621
2024-11-10 0.108922 0.219503 0.408332 0.740181 1.290064 2.140672 3.522294
2024-11-17 0.091878 0.198322 0.390116 0.743026 1.351810 2.326649 3.959617
2024-11-24 0.079384 0.182779 0.378629 0.754553 1.427198 2.538352 4.451628
2024-12-01 0.068079 0.167054 0.363917 0.757523 1.486868 2.727748 4.920461
2024-12-08 0.055667 0.146168 0.335675 0.731016 1.490448 2.822029 5.237639
2024-12-15 0.050299 0.139693 0.334958 0.756611 1.590407 3.087951 5.861816
2024-12-22 0.044911 0.132245 0.331522 0.777310 1.685151 3.355678 6.515225
2024-12-29 0.042159 0.130753 0.340814 0.825412 1.837706 3.739596 7.401427
2025-01-05 0.035951 0.118799 0.324585 0.817187 1.877818 3.920151 7.935699
2025-01-12 0.030580 0.107703 0.308347 0.806444 1.911085 4.089513 8.460123
2025-01-19 0.026223 0.098322 0.294527 0.798966 1.949674 4.270825 9.017359
2025-01-26 0.023548 0.093351 0.290998 0.814932 2.039699 4.558827 9.795048
2025-02-02 0.020901 0.087732 0.284757 0.823413 2.113798 4.819839 10.536369
2025-02-09 0.018402 0.081882 0.276819 0.826511 2.175803 5.060169 11.251336
2025-02-16 0.016528 0.077703 0.272858 0.839160 2.260724 5.353373 12.088741
2025-02-23 0.014607 0.072746 0.265706 0.842417 2.323695 5.604339 12.855147
2025-03-02 0.012123 0.064689 0.247535 0.813301 2.305845 5.680605 13.267297